tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post6278370900777830532..comments2023-06-29T01:04:57.030-07:00Comments on Victoria Vision: Can Elizabeth May win in Saanich Gulf Islands?Bernardhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-3875659394592329782011-05-03T01:32:49.042-07:002011-05-03T01:32:49.042-07:00You lose! I totally thought you were right, though...You lose! I totally thought you were right, though. What do you have to say?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13120304941614101286noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-5256812122942620042011-05-02T21:00:45.567-07:002011-05-02T21:00:45.567-07:00good predictions brogood predictions broTerrynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-47014936413631734342011-04-19T15:55:25.957-07:002011-04-19T15:55:25.957-07:00Honestly, I expect voter turn out to go down in th...Honestly, I expect voter turn out to go down in this election. There is not sense of engagement of the public in the election. There is no indication that more people will be voting in Saanich Gulf Islands this time.<br /><br />You also have to remember that Elizabeth May could only manage 32.2% in Central Nova last time around and she had no Liberal running. The Greens were also polling Bernardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-80388152206640911382011-04-19T14:23:12.044-07:002011-04-19T14:23:12.044-07:00You are assuming that
a) people who did not vote...You are assuming that <br /><br />a) people who did not vote in previous elections will continue not to vote in this one. Given May's emphasis during her campaigning on democratic reform, it seems entirely possible that she could bring out people who previously felt too frustrated with their options to vote.<br /><br />b) there has been absolutely no change in demographics in this riding Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-89269590377465076232011-04-19T09:53:04.839-07:002011-04-19T09:53:04.839-07:00www.projectdemocracy.ca
lunn..............22,160
...www.projectdemocracy.ca<br /><br />lunn..............22,160<br />may...............19,710<br />heatherington.....15,816<br />loring-kuhanga.....4,957<br /><br />This riding is not one the model predicts well. The Liberals have a far weaker candidate than Briony Penn this time out, and Elizabeth May has been campaigning hard for a year in the riding. It appears that anti-conservative vote is George Harris - GIFTS Directorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04106117540652756551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-45134409118894321822011-04-06T11:07:55.979-07:002011-04-06T11:07:55.979-07:00The article on the Green site, citing the McAllist...The article on the Green site, citing the McAllister poll, is from September 2010... why on earth are people referencing that poll result? What is relevant is how people are actually going to vote now that there's an election campaign under way.Stevehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05323465870972556866noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-24584436113861583562011-04-03T13:01:08.799-07:002011-04-03T13:01:08.799-07:00There are approximately four polls for Saanich-Gul...There are approximately four polls for Saanich-Gulf Islands Riding. I believe there is also a dirty tricks campaign attempting to invalidate those results. I shall attempt to provide a complete list of the four as soon is we can locate archive copies of those that have been removed. Let me explain what appear to be deliberately misleading dirty tricks.<br /><br />The "oversampling Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18093849561693408246noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22657184.post-57361479351206572011-03-29T07:55:27.307-07:002011-03-29T07:55:27.307-07:00These are not two polls it would seem, the one is ...These are not two polls it would seem, the one is a correction of the data on one of the polls.<br /><br />The poll is meaningless unless there is full data - who did the polling, when it was done and how many people answered. Given the 4.8% stated margin of statistical error, which in the case of SGI is not right for a host of reasons, the sample was very small.<br /><br />If this poll is to Bernardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.com