Looking at the last winner and first loser in Saanich, Victoria and Langford from the 1990s to 2018

On Vibrant Victoria Rob Randall took an interesting look at what it takes to win the 8th seat for Victoria council.  I thought I would look at this in some more detail to see what patterns might emerge

Saanich
Election     8th place            9th place               Margin 
1993     Judy Brownoff   4,850  Leif Wergelund     4,750    100
1996     John Garrison   6,935  Irene Block        6,719    216
1999     John Garrison   8,261  Joan Barton        7,363    898
2002     Nicola Wade     7,546  John Garrison      6,354  1,192
2005     Vicki Sanders   6,805  Ian Graeme         6,444    361
2008     Paul Gerrard    8,474  Rob Wickson        6,970  1,504
2011     Nicola Wade     9,437  Rob Wickson        7,801  1,636
2014     Leif Wergelund 12,107  Rebecca Mersereau 12,077     30
2018     Karen Harper   11,713  Kathleen Burton   11,289    424
Two 9th place finishers were later elected and one incumbent came in 9th.

Langford
Election     6th place            7th place            Margin
1996     John Goudy       562   Dave Dalby        507     45    
1999     Heather Ashton 1,242   John Crook      1,171     71
2002     Matt Sahlstrom 1,930   John Crook      1,885     45
2005     Matt Sahlstrom 1,730   Ian Mckenzie    1,561    169
2008     Matt Sahlstrom 1,859   Steve Hurdle    1,419    440
2011     Roger Wade     1,640   Grant McLachlan 1,219    421
2014     Matt Sahlstrom 2,174   Jim Munro       1,328    846
2018     Roger Wade     2,948   Wendy Hobbs     2,712    236
Interesting in Langford that no 7th place finisher was either an incumbent or someone who later won an election.   For the last six elections, only two different guys have finished in 6th

Victoria
Election     8th place             9th place               Margin
1990    Alastair Craighead 4,814  Howard Markson  4,517     297
1993    Jane Lunt          3,124  Bis Whitby      2,956     168
1996    Jane Lunt          3,662  Gene Miller     3,146     561
1999    Jane Lunt          4,809  Chris Coleman   4,736      73
2002    Bea Holland        6,090  David McLean    6,010      80
2005    Bea Holland        5,193  Chantal Brodeur 5,152      41
2008    John Luton         6,002  Rob Randall     3,737   2,265
2011    Chris Coleman      6,793  John Luton      6,343     350
2014    Chris Coleman      8,017  Erik Kaye       7,295     722
2018    Marianne Alto     10,245  Stephen Andrew  9,098   1,147
Chris Coleman and Jane Lunt are on this list three times.   Bea Holland and John Luton were on twice.  From 1993 to 2014 one of these four was always the 8th place finisher

2018 SD#64 Gulf Islands School District Election Results

Salt Spring Island - 3 Trustees to be elected

• Tisha Boulter acclaimed
• Stefanie Denz acclaimed
• Robert Pingle acclaimed incumbent

Mayne Island -  1 Trustee to be elected

• Janelle Lawson acclaimed

Pender Islands - 1 Trustee to be elected

• Gregory Lucas acclaimed

Galiano Island - 1 Trustee to be elected

• Shelley Lawson 429 incumbent
• Deblekha Guin  338

Saturna Island - 1 Trustee to be elected

• Chaya Katrensky acclaimed

2018 Islands Trust Election Results for Trustees within the CRD

These are only the results for trustees elected from within the CRD

Salt Spring Island - 2 Trustees to be elected

1. Laura Patrick    2,324
2. Peter Grove      1,937 incumbent
3. Kylie Coates       717
4. Darryl Martin      705
5. Howard Holzapfel   536
6. Sabrina Ali        398

Galiano - 2 Trustees to be elected

1. Jane Wolverton     526
2. Tahirih Rockafella 468
3. George Harris      363 incumbent
4. Michael Sharp      229

Mayne - 2 Trustees to be elected

1. Jeanine Dodds      420 incumbent
2. David Maude        268  
3. Brian Crumblehulme 266 incumbent
4. Christie Meers      99

South Pender - 2 Trustees to be elected

1. Steve Wright       111
2. Cameron Thorn       98
3. Richard Friesen     67

North Pender - 2 Trustees to be elected

• Benjamin McConchie acclaimed
• Deb Morrison acclaimed

Saturna - 2 Trustees to be elected

• Paul Brent incumbent acclaimed
• Lee Middleton incumbent acclaimed

2014 CRD Electoral Areas Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2011 election)
Juan de Fuca Electoral Area
Mike Hick incumbent acclaimed

Salt Spring Island Electoral Area
Total votes 2,477 (-951)

1. Wayne McIntyre 1,923 (+594) incumbent
2. Garth Hendren    554 (+171)

Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area
Total votes 2,857

1. David Howe     1,988 incumbent elected by acclamation in 2011
2. Stephen Cooper   869

Past Election Results
2018 2011 2008 2005 2002

2014 SD #93 Conseil Scolaire Francophone Election Results for the Vancouver Island South Ward

One trustee is elected to the Francophone School Authority from Southern Vancouver Island

1. Marc-Andre Ouellette 69
2. Marie-Nicole Dubois  61

2018 SD #93 Conseil Scolaire Francophone Election Results for the Vancouver Island South Ward

1 Trustee to be elected

1. Marie-Pierre Lavoie    120
2. Marc-Andre Ouellette    70 (+1) incumbent
3. Pierre-Paul Angelblazer 17

2018 SD#63 Saanich School District Election Results

Central Saanich - 2 Trustees to be elected

1. Tim Dunford 2,861
2. Alicia Holman 2,551
3. Megan Desroches 2,399

Saanich - 2 Trustees to be elected - both elected by acclamation
Victoria Martin - incumbent
Teri Vanwell

North Saanich - 2 Trustees to be elected - both elected by acclamation
Elise McMurphy - incumbent
Sheila Stelck

Sidney - 1 Trustee to be elected - elected by acclamation
Nola Silzer

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 - I do not have the 2008 or 2005 results, if you know them please let me know

2018 SD #62 Sooke School District Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from the 2014 election)

Belmont Zone - 4 Trustees to be elected

1. Ravi Parmar        5,760 (+2,092) incumbent
2. Bob Beckett        4,920
3. Diana Seaton       4,690 (+1,622) incumbent
4. Wendy Hobbs        4,669 (+834) incumbent
5. Turdy Spiller      4,068 (+1,867)
6. Russ Chipps        2,909
7. Blair Sloane       1,848

Milnes Landing Zone - 3 Trustees to be elected

1. Allison Watson     2,380
2. Margot Swinburnson 2,374 (+103)incumbent
3. Bob Phillips       2,282 (+469) incumbent
4. Neil Poirier       2,088 (+340) incumbent
5. Britt Santowski    1,509

Past Election Results

2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996  I do not have the 2008 or 2005 results, I would love to have them

SD #61 Greater Victoria School District Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from the 2014 election)

Trustees - 9 to be elected

1. Ann Whiteaker   23,250 (+2,998) incumbent
2. Diane McNally   22,790 (+2,733) incumbent
3. Elaine Leonard  22,676 (+4,821) incumbent
4. Nicole Duncan   21,728 (+7,481)
5. Jordan Waters   20,315 (+3,477) incumbent
6. Rob Paynter     20,103 (+1,177) incumbent
7. Tom Ferris      19,887 (+2,947) incumbent
8. Ryan Painter    18,678 
9. Angie Hentze    16,661
10. Aidan Elkin     16,021
11. Vincent Gornall 14,167
12. Zul Rajabali     9,730

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

2018 CRD Electoral Area Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
Juan de Fuca Electoral Area
Total votes 1,033 

1. Mike Hicks       849 incumbent who was acclaimed in 2014
2. Daniel Yates     184

Saltspring Electoral Area
Total votes 3,465 (+988)

1. Gary Holman    2,307
2. Robin Williams 1,158

Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area
Total votes 2,298 (-559)

1. David Howe     1,223 (-765) incumbent
2. Ken Hancock    1,075

Past Election Results

2014 2011 2008 2005 2002

2018 View Royal Municipal Election Results

(the numbers in brackets are changes from the 2014 election)
2,244 voted out of 7,637 29.38% 

Mayor
David Screech was acclaimed as mayor

Council - 4 to be elected

1. Damian Kowalewich 1,581 incumbent, won 2017 by-election
2. John Rogers       1,464 (-35) incumbent
3. Ron Mattson       1,409 (-8) incumbent
4. Gery Lemon        1,307
5. Adam Flint        1,120 ran in the 2017 by-election
6. Nathan Daisley      990 ran in the 2017 by-election

Past Election Results
2017 by 2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996 1993 1990

2018 City of Victoria Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
29,707 (+5,042) voted of 68,297 (+5,213) 43.50% (4.40 pp)

Mayor

1. Lisa Helps            12,642 (+3,442) incumbent
2. Stephen Hammond        8,717 NewCouncil.ca
3. Mike Geoghegan         4,335
4. Bruce McGuigan         2,377
5. Rob Duncan               527 (+274) ran in 2014 as Changes the Clown
6. Alexander Schmid         231
7. Saul Andersen            219 ran for council in 2014
8. Krzysztof Zmuda          148
9. David Johnston           119
10. RyMo(Ryan Moen)           71 ran for council in 2014

Council - 8 to be elected

1. Ben Isitt             14,205 (-524) incumbent
2. Jeremy Loveday        13,239 (+2,387) incumbent
3. Laurel Collins        12,842 Together Victoria
4. Geoff Young           12,184 (+2,250) incumbent
5. Sarah Potts           11,977 Together Victoria
6. Charlayne Thorton-Joe 10,678 (-1,368) incumbent
7. Sharmarke Dubow       10,590 Together Victoria
8. Marianne Alto         10,245 (-1,771) incumbent
9. Stephen Andrew         9,098 NewCouncil.ca ran for mayor in 2014
10. Pam Madoff             9,067 (-1,287) incumbent
11. Grace Lore             8,765
12. Andrew Reeve           8,246 (+3,910) NewCouncil.ca
13. Randie Johal           7,748 NewCouncil.ca
14. Gary Alberts           7,503 NewCouncil.ca
15. Marg Gardiner          7,041
16. Anna King              5,454
17. Rose Henry             4,076
18. Jordan Reichert        3,491
19. Darlene Archibald      3,083
20. Sean Leitenberg        3,059
21. Edison Kahakauwila     1,956
22. Ted Smith              1,898
23. Steve Filipovic        1,595 (-2,261)
24. Riga Godron            1,567 ran for mayor in 2014
25. Doug Stewart           1,394
26. James Harasymow        1,362 (+598)
27. Jesse Jimenez          1,028
28. William Tate             758
29. Delmar Martay            238

Total votes for council 184,387 which is an average of 6.21 votes per voter

CRD Director - 3 to be elected

1. Ben Isitt            11,148 (-659) incumbent
2. Jeremy Loveday        9,221 (+2,75)
3. Geoff Young           9,112 (+2,049) incumbent
4. Laurel Collins        8,761 Together Victoria
5. Marianne Alto         7,261 (-1,680) incumbent
6. Gary Alberts          5,607 (+3,382) NewCouncil.ca
7. Andrew Reeve          5,415 NewCouncil.ca
8. Marg Gardiner         4,402
9. Rose Henry            2,325
10. Jordan Reichart       1,478
11. Sean Leitenbert       1,292
12. Edison Kahakauwila      976
13. Steve Filipovic         855
14. Riga Godron             689
15. James Harasymow         598 (+282)
16. Jesse Jimenez           585
17. William Tate            405

Total votes 70,130 which is an average of 2.36 votes per voter

Past Election Results
2020 by 2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996 1993 1990

Referendum
Do you approve of spending $250,000 for a citizens assembly to research amalgamation with Saanich?

1. Yes 18,343
2. No   9,253

2018 Sooke Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
4,078 (+197) voted of 9,862 (+508)  41.35% (-0.14 pp)

Mayor

1. Maja Tait        2,299 (-228) incumbent
2. Kevin Pearson    1,623 sitting councillor
3. Mick Rhodes        135

Council - 6 to be elected

1. Brenda Parkinson 2,250 (+216) incumbent
2. Megan McMath     2,184
3. Ebony Logins     2,157 (+41) incumbent
4. Jeff Bateman     1,785 (+2)
5. Tony St-Pierre   1,579
6. Al Beddows       1,552
7. Jeff Stewart     1,536
8. Rick Kasper      1,358 (-489) incumbent
9. Herb Haldane     1,217 ran for mayor in 2014
10. Rick Armour      1,070
11. Doni Eve         1,047
12. Phil N Rossner     884
13. Peter Jonassen     747

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999

2018 Sidney Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
4,691(+780) voted out of 9,183 (+83) 51.08% (+9.10 pp)

Mayor

1. Cliff McNeil-Smith 3,740 (+2,560)
2. Steve Price          929 (-383) incumbent

Council - 6 to be elected

1. Barbara Fallot    3,341 (+1,256) incumbent
2. Peter Wainwright  3,144 (+1,098) incumbent
3. Terri O'Keeffe    3,088
4. Sara Duncan       3,072
5. Chad Rintoul      2,794
6. Scott Garnett     2,378
7. Melissa Hailey    1,615 (+237)
8. Cam McLennan      1,394 (-149) incumbent
9. Jordan Templeman  1,270
10. Stephen Weller    1,108
11. Greg Lynn           844

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999

2018 Oak Bay Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014)
7,232(+1,174) voted of 13,499(-608*) 53.57%(+10.63 pp)

Mayor

1. Kevin Murdoch     5,042 sitting councillor
2. Nils Jensen       2,138 (-1,502) incumbent

Council - 6 to elected

1. Hazel Braithwaite 5,149 (+1,603)incumbent
2. Tara Ney          4,001 (+590) incumbent
3. Carine Green      3,871 ran for mayor in 2014
4. Eric Zhelka       3,754 (+1,1170) incumbent
5. Andrew Appleton   3,707
6. Esther Paterson   3,688
7. Andrew Stinson    3,290 (+1,237)
8. Isabella Lee      2,467
9. Anton Brakage       746
10. Ronald Telfer       563

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

* I have no idea why the number of eligible voters dropped

2018 North Saanich Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
4,008 (-804) voted of 9,214 (+159)  43.50% (-9.64 pp)

Mayor

1. Geoff Orr          2,592 sitting councillor
2. Dorothy Hartshorne 1,415 (-843)

Council - 6 to elected - all acclaimed
Joscelyn Barnard
Heather Gartshore   incumbent
Jack McClintock     incumbent
Brett Smyth 
Celia Stock         incumbent
Murray Weisenberger incumbent

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2010 by 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

2018 Metchosin Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets reflect changes from 2014 election)
1,619 (+35) voted out of 3,713 (-574*) 43.60% (+6.65 pp)

Mayor
John Ranns re-elected by acclamation

Council - 4 to be elected

1. Andy MacKinnon    1,109 (+41) incumbent
2. Sharie Epp          895
3. Kyara Kahakauwila   820 (-8) incumbent
4. Marie-Terese Little 739
5. Brian Domney        717
6. Jenny Millar        514
7. Norm Hardy          477
8. Darren Brown        419

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999

* I have no idea why the number of eligible voters dropped

2018 Langford Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets are changes from 2014 election)
4,812 (+280) voted out of 26,018 (+2,154) 18.49% (-0.51 pp)

Mayor

1. Stew Young       3,939 (+212) incumbent
2. Robert Fraser      790

Council - 6 to elected

1. Lillian Szpak    3,466 (+706) incumbent
2. Denise Blackwell 3,369 (+829) incumbent
3. Norma Stewart    3,207
4. Lanny Seaton     3,121 (+738) incumbent
5. Matt Sahlstrom   3,073 (+899) incumbent
6. Roger Wade       2,948 (+712) incumbent
7. Wendy Hobbs      2,712

Past Election Results

2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

2018 Highlands Municipal Election results

Everyone was acclaimed, the same happened in 2011

Mayor 
Ken Williams incumbent

Council - 6 to elected
Leslie Anderson incumbent
Ann Baird incumbent
Gord Baird incumbent
Marcie McLean incumbent
Karel Roessingh incumbent
Rose Stanton

Past Election Results
2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

2018 Esquimalt Municipal Election Results

(numbers in brackets reflect changes from 2014)
4,143 (-264) voted out of 13,880 (-665*)  29.85% (-0.45 pp)

Mayor

1. Barb Desjardins      2,919 (-261) incumbent
2. John Roe             1,128

Council - 6 to elected

1. Tim Morrison         2,705 (+155)incumbent
2. Jacob Helliwell      2,575
3. Meagan Brame         2,556 (+21) incumbent
4. Lynda Hundleby       2,518 (+173) incumbent
5. Jane Vermeulen       2,422
6. Ken Armour           2,176
7. Chris Munkacsi       1,605
8. Veronica Greer       1,457
9. Stephane Vaudandaine 1,264
10. Andrew Hrushowy        580

Past Election Results

2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996

* I have no idea why the number of eligible voters dropped so much